Right
now, the most striking thing about the public polling on the 2016 Republican
nomination for President isn’t just the absence of a clear frontrunner: It’s
the absence of a clear pair or trio or even a quartet of frontrunners.
Republicans have no idea who they will choose. Or do they? Some may know. The Republican establishment often
secures the race for their favorite. Rural counties and grassroots are often
left to choose between a Democrat they can’t stand and a Republican who is so
moderate the difference i s too slim for many. The Republican establishment’s money
and their ability to generate all kinds of endorsements and media buzz has
chosen candidates in the past. Grassroots voters have watched as their
candidate either gets very little press or he is buried under a pile of
falsehoods.
The latest Iowa Republican Presidential poll has Mike Huckabee in
the pole position with eleven percent, and then eight (!) others are bunched
between six and ten percent. The path that every post-1970s Republican primary campaign has ultimately taken, in
which a candidate who seems reasonably electable, performs well with “moderate
conservative” primary voters and wins the blessing of the party’s donor class
successfully buries challengers that have been more popular with the grassroots
before the Presidential politics started.
Grassroots voters,
usually about 15%, almost always regret going along with the powers that be,
but it is usually too late when they finally see that they have listened to the
wrong “information”.
1 comment:
Bob Dole, John McCain, and Mitt Romney? Look at the donations that came out of Houston for these three men. These men may all be wonderful, but they were not our best choice. Texans should not put up with the establishment supporting these types of candidates to make sure they are a shoe-in before Texas even has their primary.
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